Last year, I made a list of “technology predictions for 2004”:http://virtuelvis.com/archives/2004/01/2004-predictions. Since this is the last day of 2004, let’s see how I did.
h3. Prediction 1: We won’t see a usable desktop Linux
I actually haven’t gotten around to playing much with “Novell Desktop Linux”:http://www.novell.com/products/desktop/index.html?sourceidint=productsmenu_nld_top yet — but from what I have seen, Novell is getting there.
h3. Prediction 2: MSIE will remain the dominant desktop-based rendering engine
Internet Explorer _still is the dominant browser_ — I don’t have to like it. Opera users don’t have to like it. Firefox users don’t have to like it. It still is a fact though.
h3. Prediction 3: Search engines will remain fundamentally user-unfriendly.
While everyone else seems to think that “Google Suggest”:http://www.google.com/webhp?complete=1&hl=en is the new black, I don’t neccesarily agree. Sure: It’s a step in the right direction. XMLHTTPRequest and related technologies _is a way forward_ — but we aren’t there yet.
*Message to Google:* Please, please, pretty please, buy “IceRocket”:http://www.icerocket.com/ — as they are offering some real innovation:
* Result thumbnails
* Quick view, where you can open the search result _in the result list._
* If you’re an IE user, you can _add results to your bookmarks_
* Search results RSS
* Blogs search
* Phone picture search
And, again, Google: Please, pretty please implement _dynamic_ search results. Use that XMLHTTPRequest goodness to do something like the sitesearch here does.
Look at “this search”:http://antibiomatika.net/mt/mt-search.cgi?IncludeBlogs=1&Template=virtuelvis&search=this — it returns hundreds of results. Notice the little “Narrow your search” with an adjacent input field that pops up if you use Opera or Firefox. Try typing something into that box, like “Google”, and see what happens? It _filters your results._ *Google, are you listening? Steal the idea, steal the code behind it if you like, but pretty, pretty please implement it.*
0.6 points. 0.3 deducted for IceRocket, and the last 0.1 for Google suggest.
h3. Prediction 4: Google will not index Atom/RSS-feeds.
Sure, Google crawls my feeds, and they can be found, if you search specifically for the appropriate file extension. The _items_ aren’t indexed, though. This is status quo since I made my prediction.
h3. Prediction 5: Spam won’t go away. Neither will the morons who keep the spammers alive
1 point. ‘Nuff said. I’m happy that spam doesn’t bother me anymore, I don’t have any illusions that spam became any less of a problem.
h3. Prediction 6: SCO won’t go away
Ok. For the longest time, the legal standstill made it seem like I was going to be wrong regarding this. There were even some “encouraging news”:http://www.sltrib.com/business/ci_2492936 regarding the SCO share — but alas, on Christmas Day, it was known that “SCO will continue their extortion tactics”:http://www.vnunet.com/news/1160236
*Message to SCO: Go away! You’re attempting to do harm to an entire industry*
h3. Total score
* Max: 6
* My score: 4.1